Author Topic: If NCAA Basketball was calculated like the BCS...  (Read 1241 times)

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Offline TarHeelsInAus

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Re: If NCAA Basketball was calculated like the BCS...
« Reply #15 on: March 07, 2010, 07:39:02 PM »
So, I stopped being lazy. I have a few hours to kill at my Dad's before he drops me at the train station to go back home, so I'm watching European Handball and doing sport-nerd stuff.  :toothy10:

1. Syracuse (Top Big East)
Kansas (Top Big 12)
Kentucky (Top SEC)
Duke (Top ACC)
5. Kansas State
Purdue (Top Big Ten)
Villanova
West Virginia
Ohio State
10. New Mexico (Top MWC)
BYU
Butler (Top Horizon)
Michigan State
Wisconsin
15. Pittsburgh
Tennessee
Temple (Top A-10)
Georgetown
Vanderbilt
20. Baylor
Gonzaga (Top WCC)
Maryland
Texas A&M
Texas
25. Xavier

Breakdown by Conference:

ACC: 2
Big Ten: 4
Big 12: 5
Big East: 5
SEC: 3
MWC: 2
WCC: 1
Horizon: 1
A-10: 2

Zags get NO love from the computers. Only one computer I use had them in the top 25, but the human polls helped them a bit. Wisconsin were 3rd on one computer ranking that I use; don't ask me how. Will update this after the tournament field is announced and compare the tournament bids to the top teams according to this. I can see it being very different. The current standings of this ranking give me 14 conference champs and 33 at-large bids (47 teams scored points either on computer or human rankings), so I should get pretty bang-on regarding the amount of at-large bids to compare.  :chewy:
Casey Nogueira · Tyler Hansbrough · Mia Hamm · Heather Brooks

Offline Cholo

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Re: If NCAA Basketball was calculated like the BCS...
« Reply #16 on: March 31, 2010, 03:51:33 PM »
So do you have any kind of formula that can help us understand why dook had such an easy round to the FF? 

Offline TarHeelsInAus

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Re: If NCAA Basketball was calculated like the BCS...
« Reply #17 on: March 31, 2010, 10:07:56 PM »
Umm, let's give this a try:

x = how easy it should be a team to make the final four (calculated by 17 minus seeding, so a 1 seed would have x = 16 and a 16 seed would have a 1)
y = percentage a team is Duke
z = ease of making the final four

z = x+2y

So Duke's x = 16, and y = 1.

z = 16 + 2x1

z = 18

This is 2 higher than any other 1 seed, as all other schools are 0 Duke. Does this explain it?
Casey Nogueira · Tyler Hansbrough · Mia Hamm · Heather Brooks